Monday, July 10, 2006

What do players think?

I believe everything you do in poker should be deliberate, and I truly believe that when you come into a hand there should be some type of reason for it. I see players calling raises UTG with rags, and it really leaves much to the imagination what the purpose is behind the call. Here is an example:

I was playing in a multi table tournament blinds at $200/$400, the player UTG limps the next 3 players fold. I look down to see I decide to raise 3x the big blind to $1200 because the player in 1st position will generally play speculative hands in any spot. Everyone else folds, and the UTG players calls the raise the flop comes he checks I lead out with a bet of $1200 he calls. At this point I am thinking maybe he has a Jack and another Face card, or he is slow playing with a high pocket pair. There are not flush draws, there are no straight draws, the board did pair, but a six is an unlikely holding. The next card is now I have top pair, and he checks I bet $400 he calls, the river came he then bets $2000, and I figure I am beat, but I have to see his cards, so I call and he flips over !!!! I am thinking to myself he called a raise UTG with that hand, what was the logic behind it?

I know what players who do this think, everyone wants to think that they are a great poker player, that they can make plays undetected by most players. A lot of these players make the mistake in thinking that when this play works out that calling with that type of hand will consistently lead to winning. I wonder does this type of player think about the fact that they are a 2 to 1 dog, are out of position, and hold a hand that needs to catch up to most holding to win. I hear a lot of people work under the assumption that calling raises with low cards will give them an advantage since most players raise with high cards, and if the flop is low theywill have the advantage, that may be true and a case can be made to play those cards in a lot of situations.

Think about it let's say a player with low cards catches a piece of the board with a straight draw after calling a raise pre-flop, so they bet out and the other player goes all-in over the top and has said player covered. What does the player do? Their assumption that players only raise with high cards could lead them to ruin if they called her, but they could win the hadn as well if you are holding a pair lower than 7 after the flop, and you have all in in front of you there are a lot of ways for you to lose, even if the player has AK you are a favorite, but can still lose, if the board paired you can lose, of course there are many ways to win as well. My main point is that the decision is much harder when you are put in that situation, if you play it from late position then you have the opportunity to observe the action in front of you and make your decision off of the information you pick up.

I of course am not saying I am gods gift to poker, but I read several articles and noticed myself that a lot of players these days are making crazy plays,a nd when they get lucky and have this workout they tell themselves this is the proper way they should play. There is technically no correct way to play a hand it's all based on odds and risk, if something does not give you favorable odds I don't think you want to do that too often. Just my .02 cents.

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